1. Executive Summary

1.1 European Regional Market Post Brexit Overview

1.2 Why You Should Read This Report

1.3 How This Report Delivers

1.4 Key Questions Answered by This Analytical Report Include:

1.5 Who is This Report For?

1.6 Methodology

1.6.1 Primary Research

1.6.2 Secondary Research

1.7 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1.8 Associated Visiongain Reports

1.9 About Visiongain

2. Introduction

2.1 Introduction to the Post-Brexit Aviation Study, Main Market Forces, Key Stakeholders and External Factors

2.1.1 Report Structure

2.1.2 Key Dates, Key Organisations, and Stakeholders

2.2 Historical Figures and Forecast Data

2.2.1 Projected Aircraft Fleet Statistics Over The Period 2016-2026

2.2.2 Oil and Gas Sector Related Data

2.2.3 IMF UK Growth Forecast

2.3 Economic reaction to Brexit in the United Kingdom

2.4 Economic reaction to Brexit in the European Union

2.4.1 Leading 5 Trading Partners with the UK

2.5 Political Aftermath of Brexit for the UK and Europe

2.6 Airline Valuation, Costs and Profitability

2.6.1 Airline Operational Models

2.6.2 EU Single European Sky ATM Research (SESAR)

2.6.2.1 Further Details Concerning Single European Sky

2.7 Major UK Aerospace Manufacturing Companies / Companies Involved in the UK Market

3. Scenarios for European Aviation 2016-2026

3.1 European Economic Area (EEA) Trade Agreement Model

3.1.1 Political and Economic landscape in the UK and Eurozone

3.1.1.1 Leading UK Exports by Global Share

3.1.2 Outlook for Single European Skies and Aviation Regulation

3.1.3 Outlook for Consumers and Passengers

3.1.4 Outlook for Airlines

3.2 European Free Trade Association (EFTA) Trade Agreement Model

3.2.1 Political and Economic landscape in the UK and Eurozone

3.2.2 Outlook for Single European Skies and Aviation Regulation

3.2.3 Outlook for Consumers and Passengers

3.2.4 Outlook for Airlines

3.3 World Trade Organisation (WTO) Trade Agreement Model

3.3.1 Political and Economic landscape in the UK and Eurozone

3.3.1.1 Potential Restrictions on the Freedom of Movement and Implications for UK and EU

3.3.2 Outlook for Single European Skies and Aviation Regulation

3.3.2.1 Scenario 1

3.3.2.2 Scenario 2

3.3.2.3 Scenario 3 and 4

3.3.3 Outlook for Consumers and Passengers

3.3.4 Outlook for Airlines

4. SWOT Analysis

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Glossary

Tables

Table 2.1 Stakeholders in the Brexit Process and the Impact of Brexit Upon Them (Potential Change, Stakeholder Impacted, Desirable Brexit Outcome, Potential Impact of Brexit)

Table 2.2 EU Member States (Country, Join Date)

Table 2.3 Leading 5 Trading Partners with the UK (Country, Imports, Exports, Value GBPm)

Table 2.4 Single European Sky Related Information

Table 2.5 Major UK Aerospace Manufacturing Companies / Companies Involved in the UK Market* (Company, Country, Key UK Locations)

Table 3.1 Leading UK Exports by Global Share (Rank, Commodity/Good)

Table 3.2 Current members of the ECAA (Nation, EU Member)

Table 3.3 Potential Restrictions on the Freedom of Movement and Implications for UK and EU (Scenario, Degree of Restriction to Movement of People, Impact on UK and EU Immigration, Likelihood of Occurrence)

Table 3.4 Potential Scenarios for the European Aviation Regulatory Environment (Scenario, Description, Implications for Single European Skies, Degree of Regulatory Restriction, Likelihood of Occurrence)

Table 4.1 SWOT Analysis of the UK’s Relationship with the EU and How This May Implicate Aviation From 2016-2026

Figures

Figure 2.1 Market Forces Impacting the European Aviation Industry following the Brexit Decision

Figure 2.2 Report Structure

Figure 2.3 Map of EEA Member States

Figure: 2.4 Global Next Generation Fleet Outlook 2016-2026 (Number Of Aircraft, Replacement & Change)

Figure 2.5 Global Commercial Aircraft Future Deliveries Forecast by Regional & Aircraft Type 2016-2026 (Number Of Aircraft)

Figure 2.6 WTI and Brent Oil Prices 2003-2014 ($/bbl)

Figure 2.7 The Number of UK Exploration Wells Drilled 1970-2014

Figure 3.1 Scenario Structure

Figure 3.2 Structure of Models in This Report

Figure 3.3 World Trade Organisation (WTO) Trade Agreement Model Potential Outcomes

Title: BREXIT & The Aviation Industry, Implications for the UK & Wider European Economic Area 2016-2026

The Brexit & The Aviation Industry, Implications for the UK & Wider European Economic Area 2016-2026 report responds to your need for concise scenarios in the wake of the Brexit decision

What are the likely European aviation market scenarios?

• 3 in depth scenarios provide analysis of the political and economic landscape of UK-EU relations and the implications for passengers, airlines and consumers
• European Economic Area (EEA) Model
• European Free Trade Association (EFTA) Model
• World Trade Organisation (WTO) Model

What are the potential European aviation regulatory changes?

• See regional analysis of the regulatory framework which could be implemented in the Eurozone and UK respectively

What are the factors influencing European aviation market dynamics?

• SWOT analysis explores the factors
• Key stakeholders in the post-Brexit decision making process
• Outlook for consumers
• Outlook for Airlines
• Economic Considerations
• Political factors and public demands regarding the Brexit
• Foreign Policy as well as immigration

Who should read this report?

• Anyone within the European Aviation industry, including
• Commercial airlines
• Aircraft OEM’s
• Component suppliers
• Aircraft MRO providers
• Airport operators
• Aviation regulatory bodies
• Aviation associations
• CEO’s
• COO’s
• CIO’s
• Business development managers
• Marketing managers
• Suppliers
• Technologists
• Investors
• Banks
• Government agencies
• Contractors